The following is part four of ECW contributor Michael Gladius‘s series ‘In Search Of Middle-Earth’.
It describes his vision of what an idealized future Occident might look like, once the West’s current troubles are- God-willing(!)- overcome.
Check it out men!
In Search if Middle-Earth: What a counter-revolutionary world Would Look Like
Dunedain Rangers: The Numbers Of Reconquest
The kingdoms of men have never enjoyed unchallenged dominance. Every age of Middle Earth and the real Earth have been rife with challenges, villains, and mortal threats.
In Middle-Earth, the Numenorians fell from grace, began worshipping Melkor, and attempted to invade the Undying Lands.
As punishment, Numenor was destroyed, and only a few who had remained faithful survived. These sailed east and established the kingdoms of Arnor and Gondor. The north kingdom, Arnor, became divided, first from Gondor and then between itself. The Witch-King of Angmar waged relentless war against it, and Gondor could not ride to its aid.
The Dunedain were defeated, scattered into the wilds, and continued to decline. In the South, Gondor was attacked on all fronts, by orcs from Mordor, Southrons from Harad, and Easterlings from Rhun. Gondor lost one of its two great Fortresses, Minas Ithil (later becoming Minas Morgul) to the Nazgul, followed by an exodus from its eastern lands of Ithilien and the ruin of Osgiliath, its capital.
The Corsairs of Umbar, formerly a city under Gondor’s rule, fell under the influence of Sauron and the Haradrim Kings, threatening Gondor from the sea for centuries. Long wars followed long periods of peace, and although each war failed to destroy the kingdom, they successively weakened and reduced its holdings, pushing them further back each time.
In our own history, the story is no less dramatic. European cultures at one point encompassed not only the continent out to the Urals, but the Mediterranean as well. North Africa and Egypt resembled Spain, Italy, or Greece for millennia before the coming of Islam. Asia Minor was Greek, as were the lands of the East out to Damascus and the borders with Arabia and Persia. Mesopotamia and Armenia were bitterly contested between East and West, changing hands often.
The unity of this occidental world was never assured. Greek fought Italian. Carthage threatened Rome twice before being destroyed. Spain fought both for the Romans and against them. The Germans, Gauls, Celts, Slavs, and Scythians all fought each other and the great civilizations of the Ancient world.
From the outside, Asian hordes pressed in at all times, from the Persians at Marathon & Thermopylae to the Parthians and Sasanians taking Arabia and Egypt from the Byzantines.
The coming of Christianity remade European Civilization anew, and fixed many of Paganism’s weaknesses.
Yet the old ways did not submit willingly. Paganism persecuted the new religion for 300 years, and the ruling class held out the longest. Anti-Popes and heresies such as Arianism challenged the faith’s integrity from the inside. The snobs and ruling aristocracy saw the Church as an existential threat, and sneered at its popularity with the masses. Many armies and warlords of the time embraced Arianism to avoid this affiliation, and persecuted the orthodoxy as much as the old paganism did.
Despite these heresies and political pressures, Christianity spread from Gibraltar to China.
With the decline of the centralized Roman Empire, Huns, Magyars, and Mongols invaded Europe from the East, where the Romans themselves could never reach. After 300 years, Arianism was finally defeated, only for the new threat of Islam to arrive and swallow up the South and east of the Mediterranean.
The Byzantines fought on longer than the Persians, but were pushed back more often than they advanced. Spain, a hotbed of Arianism, was consumed by the ravaging Mohammedans, and only the Battles of Covadonga and Tours halted their advance.
Even when checked, Islam continued to launch attacks and raids into France and Southern Europe, carrying away slaves and loot.
Oriental ideas infiltrated into Southern France, and heretics soon rallied to the Albigensian heresy, which threatened Europe’s underbelly both culturally and militarily. Although their military power was broken at the Battle of Muret in 1213, the Albigensian threat was not eradicated for many decades after.
In the East, the Maygars were finally defeated and Christianized, and would later become fully part of Europe.
Then, the united Church split between Greek and Latin-speakers. Constantinople continued the centralized Roman system and slave economy, while Islam recruited millions of slaves from sub-Saharan Africa, and frequently used castrated males as expendable soldiers (the Ottomans would later repeat this with Greek males in the Janissary corps).
Forty years after the Schism between Eastern and Western Christianity, the Crusades were called, and reunification seemed possible. But the Crusades failed to finish what they started, as petty bickering and squabbling among the nobility overrode their long-term strategy.
Islam rebounded, retook the Holy Land, and then pressed upon Constantinople again.
Constantinople fell, and the Ottomans pressed to the Hungarian plain, their advance continuous up to the gates of Vienna. They failed to take the city, but continued to conquer the Balkans and occupied the Crimea.
There, they converted the Tartars (who then burned Moscow in 1571), and carried away slaves from Ukraine and Poland for 200 years.
While Isaac Newton developed his theories, the Turks besieged Vienna a second time, and only the intervention of Jan Sobieski III saved Europe and turned the tide.
Now, the Ottomans were on the defensive, although it required another century of war before they were no longer an existential threat.
In the North, the Scandinavian pirates and Baltic pagans menaced the newly-formed Holy Roman Empire for centuries. The Vikings were eventually converted, but only grew stronger and more unified, enabling them to launch larger and more permanent invasions of Britain and northern Europe.
Russia, Novogorod, and Sweden all clashed in the northeast, over trade and religious differences.
France and Germany separated, and fought each other for centuries.
Although Church and state were separate but equal, they rarely got along, and political clashes between the two were frequent.
Then the Reformation began, even as the Turks continued to menace Europe from the east. The reformation declared the entirety of the Church’s authority to be void, and led to the decline of the Church’s political power and to the unchallenged supremacy of the modern nation-state.
Warfare changed, favoring the side with artillery, and centralization of power returned.
Among the elite, atheism and anti-clericalism became popular, leading to civil wars, a permanent separation of Europe into Protestant and Catholic camps, and then later to the French Revolution and Napoleon’s wars. Anti-clerical governments also aided the Ottomans when the Austro-Hungarian and Russian Empires attempted to crush the Islamic threat for good.
Even after Napoleon was defeated, revolutionary fervors and excessive nationalism fueled Europe, leading to the Revolutions of 1848 and aggressive colonialism.
Industrialism arose, and the merchant class became the new oligarchy, with neither titles nor permanence.
Darwinism also fueled the fires of revolution, and gave them a façade of legitimacy by telling man that he was no more human than the beasts of the earth.
The secular state readily embraced the merchant class’ wealth and organizational methods, and the two social groups began to blend together.
Excessive national pride and opportunism led to both world wars, which devastated Europe mentally first, then physically. Communism arose in Russia, while National Socialism arose in Germany, and other forms of socialism took root in France and Britain.
After the wars, Communism enslaved Eastern Europe, and poisoned the minds of the Western leaders.
While the west advanced slowly towards communism, the Soviets encouraged Liberation Theology in Africa and South America, denouncing colonialism and humiliating the west, whose people were still coming to terms with the human costs of the world wars and the Holocaust (while conveniently ignoring the ongoing Soviet atrocities).
The Soviets also supported the resurgence of Islam, whose temperament had lay dormant since their defeats in Spain, Vienna, and subsequent colonization by western powers.
Now we stand at the climax, as Asia, Africa, and Islam return, seeking to rule over us again. Our enemies have not changed, and the answer has not changed. Ancient problem, ancient solution: http://www.thisblogisdangerous.com/ancient-problem-ancient-solution/
Reconquest By Numbers
The Dunedain of Arnor were initially an urban society.
When the witch-King of Angmar destroyed their cities and ravaged their lands, their people fled to the wilds, and resettled in villages under tribal rule. The rangers’ lifestyle became dominant and, even as their numbers shrank, the Dunedain continued to be harassed by wolves and orcs from the Misty Mountains.
The Dunedain had dwindled so badly that, by the time Aragorn summoned the Grey Company only 30 men were available to muster.
Yet the Dunedain had been in decline long before the Witch-King had appeared.
The reason for this was their low birth rates.
The Dunedain had, for centuries, followed a custom of having only one child per couple. They did not abandon this tradition when they fled the Witch-King’s wrath and attempted to start a new life in the wilds. Their population dropped continuously, regardless of whether they were under assault from the forces of darkness or not.
Europe and the west are in similar dire straits, but all is not lost. Mathematically, the birth rate for a society to retain its population is 2.1 births per couple. If we round up to 3, reconquest becomes more likely, even easier.
Take a theoretical desperate society with only 1,000,000 remaining people between the ages of 15-35 (the fighting age for men and the childbearing age for women). Divide it 60-40 between women and men, respectively, and it gives us 600,000 women and 400,000 men. If every woman has 3 children apiece by the time she turns 36, then 1,800,000 children will be born. Divided 60-40 again, this means 1,080,000 will be girls and 720,000 will be boys.
This means that within a single generation (15-25 years), the number of fighting-age males from our nations would increase from 400,000 to 720,000, irrespective of how many of the previous generation were killed in war. If the birth rate was 5 children per woman, then it would triple from 400,000 to 1,200,000. (Also see- http://www.atimes.com/the-30-solution-when-war-without-end-ends-spengler/ )
The point of the math is that even a small nation can rapidly reverse its population decline if it chooses. This can occur during wartime, peacetime, hardship, or a golden age. The decision is cultural, rather than circumstantial (https://www.catholicculture.org/culture/library/view.cfm?recnum=860 ).
Authentic European cultures (as opposed to artificial ones invented during the 19th and 20th centuries) are all favorable to large families.
Ireland was an agrarian nation, Italy was more urban, yet both were famous for their large families well into the mid-20th century.
The decline began in every country which legalized and socially accepted contraception, beginning with England in 1938. All of this was predicted in the Papal Encyclical Humanae Vitae (Multiple translations here- http://w2.vatican.va/content/paul-vi/en/encyclicals/documents/hf_p-vi_enc_25071968_humanae-vitae.html ), and the worst-case scenario has become reality.
Contraception has damaged western family life and crippled our civilization. Either the contraceptive culture must go or western culture must go. There is no third way.
Nor do we need to go to the opposite extreme and copy the Islamic practice of reproducing like rabbits on Viagra to become strong again.
Islamic birthrates are high because they kill each other for sport, and their feral culture sees women as baby factories and punching bags.
That is not our culture. A peaceful culture, far removed from the 3rd-world’s wars, can accept the cultural minimum birth rate of 3 children per family and be satisfied with the results.
So what would the complete picture look like? How would Europe look, post-reconquest?
Firstly, Europe will likely suffer greatly in the near future, whether from economic collapse or 4GW or a combination of the two. This may be the case in other parts of the Occident as well.
If we are successful, and our countries preserved, still our lands will likely be devastated and our numbers greatly reduced, even if we invite foreigners of European descent to return home (such as the Afrikaners). There will be no economy to speak of, and plenty of foreign influences and money surrounding us.
This will allow us room to complete the work of reviving agrarianism. There will be plenty of available land, and plenty of hungry people who need to eat. Rather than large factory farms, 3-5 acre family farms (https://www.motherearthnews.com/homesteading-and-livestock/self-sufficient-farming-zmaz74jfzhol ) might be the norm.
Laws may be needed to protect the farmers, depending on the geopolitical situation. Family farms will make it easier to revive folk cultures, and support larger families.
Rural life will ensure that the majority (60-70% of the population) is close to nature. The resource requirements of heirloom farming will be smaller than those of factory farms, and practices like companion farming will produce higher quality crops.
After the population’s food requirements are met, then society will begin to trend towards urbanism again. Artisans, blue-collar workers, and engineers will overwhelmingly dominate towns and cities, most businesses will be family-owned, and the guilds will be revived.
Automation and information technology will reduce the manpower needed for manufacturing, ensuring that urban populations remain relatively small. Ultimately, slightly less than 1/3 of the total population of Europe will need to be urban. The guilds, middle class, and merchant class could be kept in check by laws limiting their influence to the cities/locales in which they live.
Credit unions could replace banks, and antitrust legislation will outlaw branching. One company, one location.
Cities could have a small footprint, families could live above their shops, and public property such as parks would still exist. Publicly funded research institutes for science and the like would also continue.
In such a scenario, society will be overwhelmingly comprised of producers (farmers and blue-collar workers) who privately own their own lands, shops, and tools of production.
Mobile institutions, like the transportation/logistics industries, will be employee-owned. The merchant class will only comprise perhaps 1% of the population, and have little influence beyond the city walls. All secular authority will be localized, and communal life in the mold of St. Benedict will be revived. Blue laws like those in Poland (https://onepeterfive.com/poland-sunday-rest/) will ensure we are not worked to death.
In order to prevent atomization of society through electronic means, public libraries will take on central roles in secular communal life. Public libraries today often provide free internet access and space for community meetings.
In a post-reconquest Europe, most families would not own televisions or computers in their homes (businesses are a different matter), but would use the local library for parties, movie/game nights, and free internet cafes.
Libraries can also replace public schools below college level. Also, public schooling will involve lessons on self-policing for communities, teaching persuasion/verbal judo (http://verbaljudo.com/), the use of one’s wits, and pistol marksmanship.
Men who are 18 will be conscripted into the nation’s reserves, and required to learn light infantry skills.
St. Thomas Aquinas wrote that a balanced society will incorporate monarchy, oligarchy, and democracy, each keeping the others in check.
Some European nations will benefit from restoring their monarchies, others may substitute something else in its place. Democracy can work well only at the local level, but oligarchy is where the greatest risk lies.
Oligarchy is necessary to provide social glue and stability, but has historically been the source of revolution and usurpation. This can be avoided, however, by restoring monasticism in Europe. The Church is a natural oligarchy, but her mission is centered on culture and spirituality, rather than economics and production (as we are today: https://www.catholicculture.org/culture/library/view.cfm?recnum=2580&bd=-5%23768%231366%231%23n).
Secular society will decentralize, and the Universal Church is best-suited to provide the necessary buffer for cultural and spiritual unity. The state has economic and political power, while the Church will have economic and cultural power. The balance of power will be restored, albeit in an asymmetric fashion.
I have saved the necessity of Christianity for last, since it is the subject of my next series.
I can say, however, that Europe as we know it was built by Christianity, and to remove Christianity from Europe is to abolish Europe.
Even for those who are not Christian themselves, this historical fact is undeniable. My next series will cover why Christianity will be the only thing that can fully save and restore European civilization.
Books I recommend:
How the crusades failed: https://www.amazon.com/Crusades-Worlds-Debate-Hilaire-Belloc/dp/0991560639/ref=sr_1_4?ie=UTF8&qid=1515877089&sr=8-4&keywords=hilaire+belloc
On economics: https://www.amazon.com/Servile-State-Hilaire-Belloc/dp/1440476438/ref=asap_bc?ie=UTF8
Big thanks to Michael for another interesting article!! For more on ‘sacrality’ and Tolkienism, check out an article I wrote on the topic here: http://www.europeancivilwar.com/monopoly-on-sacrality/